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hot-hand fallacy

purported phenomenon that a person who experiences a successful outcome has a greater chance of success in further attempts
Class type of: fallacy Q10954923

Facts

3 properties
Subclass of
fallacy[1]
Part of
psychological terminology[2]
Opposite of
gambler's fallacy[3]
🏷️ Also known as
en hot-hand fallacy de Hot-Hand-Phänomen fa دست خوب fi kuumien käsien harha fi heittoputki-vaikutus ja ホットハンドの誤謬 ko 뜨거운 손 현상 uk Омана «куй поки гаряче» zh 熱手謬誤
🔖 Identifiers · 2
Freebase ID
/m/0ch2z7z
Microsoft Academic ID (discontinued)
2778733526

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🔗 Connections
Opposite of 1
gambler's fallacy
Subclass of 1
fallacy
← Contributing factor of 1
clustering illusion
← Opposite of 1
gambler's fallacy
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References

Programmatic citations — every numbered marker resolves to a verifiable graph row below.

Direct Wikidata claims

  1. [1] ↑ . wikidata.org.
  2. [2] ↑ . wikidata.org.
  3. [3] ↑ . wikidata.org.

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APA 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph. (2026). hot-hand fallacy. Retrieved November 8, 2026, from https://4ort.xyz/entity/hot-hand-fallacy
MLA “hot-hand fallacy.” 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph, 4ort.xyz, 8 Nov. 2026, https://4ort.xyz/entity/hot-hand-fallacy.
BibTeX @misc{4ortxyz_hot-hand-fallacy_2026, author = {{4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph}}, title = {{hot-hand fallacy}}, year = {2026}, url = {https://4ort.xyz/entity/hot-hand-fallacy}, note = {Accessed: 2026-11-08}}
LLM prompt According to 4ort.xyz Knowledge Graph (aggregator of Wikidata, Wikipedia, and authoritative open-data sources): hot-hand fallacy — https://4ort.xyz/entity/hot-hand-fallacy (retrieved 2026-11-08)

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